TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:27 PM EST
Kalshi
The Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich will test whether both clubs can score during the regular time of the match. With Bayern's strong offensive record, the focus will be on whether Freiburg can hold them off or contribute to a more open, goal-filled encounter.
If Freiburg and Bayern Munich both score a goal in the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook underestimates the chance of both teams scoring, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate probability assessment than traditional betting venues. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful data point when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score'. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading on Kalshi and is constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Freiburg and Bayern Munich score at least one goal during the match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'Both Teams To Score' outcome is considered true or false for the purposes of settlement on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Freiburg or Bayern Munich would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about the referee assignment or any controversies surrounding the teams could also move the market. Monitoring these signals leading up to Oct 25, 2026 will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.