TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Bayern Munich will win their professional Bundesliga soccer game against Freiburg. Currently, Kalshi gives Bayern Munich an 85.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 11.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich game. Keep an eye on the starting lineups announced on October 25, 2026, as they may signal potential tactical approaches and impact the perceived likelihood of each outcome.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich professional Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026: a win for Freiburg, a win for Bayern Munich, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by actual money being placed on different outcomes. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that prediction market participants have information or perspectives not fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. Examining these differences can highlight potential value or mispricing in either venue.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Freiburg win, a Bayern Munich win, or a draw – occurred according to the official match results. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Freiburg or Bayern Munich would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players or coaching staff, or even significant shifts in public opinion, could all contribute to price movements in this market.