TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:33 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Fredrikstad and Tromsoe in the Eliteserien league. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory after the standard 90 minutes of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The market also includes an option for a tied result after regulation time.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Fredrikstad vs Tromsoe professional Eliteserien soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Fredrikstad or Tromsoe markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, whereas this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing what traders believe is the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply variations in risk assessment. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it might signal an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices react to news or changes in sentiment, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Fredrikstad vs Tromsoe match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor official announcements to understand when the event has concluded and the market can be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, team form, weather conditions, or even tactical changes announced by the coaches could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader developments in the league standings, might also impact the perceived probabilities. Any significant information that alters the perceived likelihood of either Fredrikstad or Tromsoe winning will likely lead to price movements on Kalshi.