TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:17 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Fredrikstad FK and Rosenborg BK, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fredrikstad FK" if Fredrikstad FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rosenborg BK" if Rosenborg BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Fredrikstad FK and Rosenborg BK, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fredrikstad FK" if Fredrikstad FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rosenborg BK" if Rosenborg BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an event. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. It’s common to see this market’s probabilities diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the likely first goalscorer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Fredrikstad or Rosenborg will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, offering a unique perspective compared to static odds.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Fredrikstad FK versus Rosenborg BK match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome of this market. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fredrikstad or Rosenborg would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a strong start for one team could move the market. Finally, significant betting activity on Polymarket itself, driven by new information or a change in public opinion, will directly affect the price of shares in this market.