TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Wolfsburg
- Kalshi
Wolfsburg - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:21h:09m
$
This market centers on the outcome of a professional women's soccer match in Germany's Bundesliga, specifically focusing on which team will secure a victory within the standard game duration. The contest evaluates performance over the full 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on the final score at the end of regular time, with provisions for fair resolution if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg professional German Women's Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Frankfurt or Wolfsburg markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of standard playing time.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might suggest the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and can diverge based on public perception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and provide a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood, driven entirely by trader activity.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the final result. The platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Frankfurt or Wolfsburg would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of the match's likely outcome.