TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Frankfurt vs Hamburg: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Frankfurt vs Hamburg?

Volume:
$67,408

Frankfurt wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Frankfurt wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Frankfurt wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,049
N/A
N/A
$29,643
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Frankfurt wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,223
N/A
N/A
$7,302
Settled
No
kalshi

Frankfurt wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,998
N/A
N/A
$7,763
Settled
No
kalshi

Hamburg wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,853
N/A
N/A
$3,945
Settled
No
kalshi

Hamburg wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,285
N/A
N/A
$1,664
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga soccer match between Frankfurt and Hamburg, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Frankfurt versus Hamburg Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, each defined by a specific goal differential threshold for either team to win by. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. If Frankfurt wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Frankfurt wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not more than 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Hamburg wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Hamburg wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market is independent, and only the specific condition corresponding to the actual result will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Bundesliga, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Frankfurt vs Hamburg match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes in this market. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the price has fluctuated over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $30,985. Total volume for this market is $59,607. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the outcome of the match will land, offering insight into the collective prediction.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the likely outcome of the Frankfurt vs Hamburg match. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of it happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome of the Frankfurt vs Hamburg match. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Frankfurt vs Hamburg match, specifically the spread as determined by official sports data providers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will then receive their payouts based on their positions in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Frankfurt or Hamburg teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or a controversial referee appointment, could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess the evolving probabilities in this market.