TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines if both Frankfurt and FC Köln will score in their upcoming Bundesliga fixture. The resolution hinges on whether each side scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with own goals counting toward the team they are awarded to.
If Frankfurt and FC Köln both score a goal in the Frankfurt vs FC Köln Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might suggest differing opinions on the likelihood of both teams scoring. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the price adjusts based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements can be influenced by news, injuries, or changes in public perception regarding the teams' offensive capabilities. The goal is to find advantageous prices based on your own assessment of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Frankfurt and FC Köln score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the 'Yes' outcome prevails; if either team fails to score, the 'No' outcome prevails. The result will be determined by official match statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Frankfurt or FC Köln would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the likelihood of both teams scoring is crucial for informed trading in this market.