TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Frankfurt will win its professional Bundesliga soccer game against FC Köln. Currently, Kalshi gives Frankfurt a win probability of 80.0%, while a tie is priced at 17.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the Frankfurt vs FC Köln match. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 16, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Frankfurt vs FC Köln professional Bundesliga soccer game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Frankfurt wins, the 'Frankfurt' market resolves to Yes; if FC Köln wins, the 'FC Köln' market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. This can provide a valuable signal, especially when there's disagreement between the two, and may indicate where the market perceives value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Frankfurt vs FC Köln match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Frankfurt vs FC Köln match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome, as reported by official sports sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct result will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams and the match itself can impact trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to price movements in this market.