TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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France vs. Türkiye
🌟New
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of France vs. Türkiye?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$735
0.38%
Open interest:
$0N/A

France

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:23h:25m

France wins

80%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 80¢ buys you 125 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $125 | Net Profit: $25 Multiplier: 1.25x | ROI: 25% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

France

Trade
N/A
N/A
32¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 23h
Active
polymarket

France

Trade
76%
Yes 93¢No 42¢
35¢
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 20h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 33.5¢Max: 35¢
kalshi

Turkiye

Trade
N/A
N/A
28¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 23h
Active
polymarket

Türkiye

Trade
18%
Yes 31¢No 96¢
27¢
$284
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 20h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 27.5¢Max: 28¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
37¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 23h
Active
polymarket

Draw (France vs. Türkiye)

Trade
21%
Yes 38¢No 96¢
34¢
$235
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 20h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 35.5¢Max: 37¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of the France vs. Türkiye UEFA Nations League soccer game scheduled for November 15, 2026. Markets exist on which team wins or if the game ends in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed abandonment rules and a 'No' resolution path, while Kalshi only defines resolution based on the game result within regulation time.Hero tip: Be aware of the potential for a 'No' resolution on Polymarket if the game is significantly disrupted. Kalshi markets are solely focused on the 90-minute result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled or doesn't start by Nov 17, 2026. Abandoned games resolve based on governing body ruling or the result as played. "If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if France, Türkiye, or a Tie occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit abandonment rules are provided. "If France wins... the market resolves to Yes. If Turkiye wins... the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between France and Türkiye, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the France vs Turkiye professional UEFA Nations League soccer match originally scheduled for November 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If France wins, the 'France' market resolves to Yes. If Turkiye wins, the 'Turkiye' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the result within regular time and do not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the France vs. Türkiye match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, currently showing a combined volume of $0. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving across different platforms and gain a more comprehensive understanding of expectations for the match. The dashboard tracks the collective wisdom of crowds, offering insights beyond any single market's price.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and often influence initial pricing in prediction markets. Volume on this market is currently $0, indicating interest from forecasters.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the France vs. Türkiye match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. The outcome of this market will reflect the final score and official determination of the match winner, as publicly available and widely accepted.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 15, 2026. Major news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift expectations. Any significant upsets in other matches leading up to the event could also influence the perceived likelihood of either team winning. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and news coverage, may also play a role, particularly if it indicates a shift in confidence for either France or Türkiye. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding movements in this market.