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France vs Belgium: Spread
kalshi
predict

What is the result of France vs Belgium?

Volume:
$669,378

France wins by more than 1.5 goals

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

France wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$231,403
N/A
N/A
$78,179
Settled
Yes
predict

France (-1.5)

View
94%
Yes 94¢No 6¢
—
$7,995
$6,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$10,765
$32,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Both Teams to Score

View
99%
39%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,695
$21,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 1.5

View
99%
14%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$10,165
$16,481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5

View
99%
34%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$11,411
$12,654
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 4.5

View
99%
75%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$2,153
$7,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 0.5

View
99%
3%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$1
$1,330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

France wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$125,899
N/A
N/A
$45,673
Settled
Yes
predict

France (-2.5)

View
27%
Yes 27¢No 73¢
—
$12,747
$2,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 5.5

View
7%
5%
Yes 7¢No 93¢
—
$25
$6,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 6.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$25
$774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 7.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$80
$72
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Belgium (-1.5)

View
11%
Yes 11¢No 89¢
—
$129
$3,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Belgium wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110,869
N/A
N/A
$48,278
Settled
No
predict

France (-3.5)

View
10%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
$129
$651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

France wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,697
N/A
N/A
$28,205
Settled
No
predict

Belgium (-2.5)

View
2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$129
$316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Belgium wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,503
N/A
N/A
$30,503
Settled
No
predict

Belgium (-3.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

France (-4.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Belgium (-4.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$129
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

France (-5.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$11,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Belgium (-5.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$129
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 8.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks the Over/Under 3.5 goals for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between France and Belgium. Currently, the consensus probability across Kalshi and Predict is 99%. Resolution will be based on the official statistics from uefa.com, with Flashscore and Sofascore as backup sources if needed. The market will resolve to “Over” if the combined total score is 2 or more goals, and “Under” otherwise, accounting for the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 5, to see if the total goals scored surpass the 3.5 threshold.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi incorrectly references a future date (2026) for a game scheduled in 2023, while Predict uses the correct date. Additionally, the spread thresholds are consistent, but the date issue renders Kalshi markets unreliable.Hero tip: Prioritize trading on Predict's markets due to the accurate event date. Kalshi's markets are likely to be unresolved or incorrectly resolved.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, published on uefa.com. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50/50. The event date is October 5, 2023. "This market will resolve to 'France' if France win the game by 2 or more goals."
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If France wins by more than 2.5 goals, the market resolves to Yes. The event date is incorrectly listed as October 5, 2026. "If France wins by more than 2.5 goals in the France vs Belgium professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the goal difference in the France vs Belgium UEFA Nations League game scheduled for October 5, 2026. A French victory by more than 2.5 goals meets the first outcome; winning by more than 1.5 goals satisfies the second. Belgium must win by more than 1.5 goals to trigger the third market, and exceeding 2.5 goals achieves the fourth. All assessments are conducted after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts.

Predict

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the France vs Belgium match from multiple prediction markets, including Kalshi and Predict. It displays a consensus view of the likely spread, combining volume and price information from both venues to provide a comprehensive outlook. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $669,378, with $546,743 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see where the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ currently stands on the outcome of this sporting event, and how opinions are shifting over time.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Predict, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital based on their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there's significant public information available. However, sportsbooks often offer more markets and may react faster to breaking news. Comparing the odds across both types of platforms provides a well-rounded view of the expected outcome for this market.