TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total goals scored in the France vs. Belgium UEFA Nations League match will be over or under 3.5. Currently, the Polymarket market gives a 100.0% probability to the “France vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5” outcome. Resolution will be determined by the official match results reported on the UEFA website: https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match itself on October 5th at 2:45 PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the goals scored during the game.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among participants, and the influence of public opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more efficient assessment of probabilities than traditional odds. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable benchmark for comparison.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the France vs. Belgium match, as determined by the governing sports organization. The final score and any relevant game statistics will be used to verify the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, and the market will be closed. The outcome will be publicly available and transparently documented.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public opinion regarding team performance can influence trading activity. Monitoring these factors and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market. Any significant event impacting the perceived probabilities will likely be reflected in the trading volume.