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France vs. Belgium - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of France vs Belgium?

Volume:
$2,945

Belgium

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 6:42 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Belgium

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BEL

View
32%
Yes 32¢No 68¢
—
$19
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

FRA

View
69%
Yes 69¢No 31¢
—
$0
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

France

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$961
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between France and Belgium. Resolution depends on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with 'Neither' as an option if no goal is scored in that timeframe.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria regarding the first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a 'Neither' option and defined fallback procedures for data sourcing.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If no team scores within the specified timeframe, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponement extends the market until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation results in a 'Neither' resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting. If no data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores after market resolution will not be considered.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between France and Belgium, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between France and Belgium, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of different teams scoring the first goal in the France vs. Belgium match. Currently, Polymarket currently favors "Neither team to score first?" at 98, while Predict leans toward the same outcome. The aggregated view provides a consensus estimate based on volume of 0 and 24-hour volume of 0, allowing users to see where the crowd believes the most likely outcome lies in the France vs. Belgium first goal market. This view helps traders assess market sentiment and potential opportunities across both platforms.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the views of many individual bettors. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings, this market can dynamically adjust as new information and betting activity emerge, potentially identifying mispriced outcomes. It's worth comparing both to inform your decisions.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the France vs. Belgium first goal market can diverge due to several factors. Different user bases, varying trading volumes, and distinct risk appetites contribute to these price discrepancies. Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders focusing on long-term predictions, while Predict could have a larger base of casual bettors reacting to short-term news. Furthermore, each platform has its own fee structure and liquidity conditions, influencing how traders price the same event. These factors combine to create potentially different probabilities for the same outcome.