TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between France and Belgium, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the France vs. Belgium match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between France and Belgium, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the France vs. Belgium match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the knowledge and insights of a diverse group of traders. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which can skew the probabilities. This market, driven by informed participants on Predict, may offer a different perspective than initial sportsbook lines. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the France vs. Belgium match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Predict following the completion of the game. It is important to note that the resolution is based on the official result and not on any individual's interpretation or unofficial source.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could lead to significant price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or pre-match analysis from respected football experts could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Predict by informed participants could quickly alter the odds, reflecting new insights or a change in market perception regarding the likely outcome of the match.