TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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France vs. Belgium - Belgium Starting 11
polymarket

France vs. Belgium - Belgium Starting 11

Volume:
N/A

Maarten Vandevoordt

 - Polymarket

Maarten Vandevoordt - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 6:42 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Maarten Vandevoordt

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Senne Lammens

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mike Penders

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jari De Busser

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zeno Debast

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Arthur Theate

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon Mechele

100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Maxim De Cuyper

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Koni De Winter

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Joaquin Seys

100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Diego Moreira

100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Timothy Castagne

100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nathan Ngoy

100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kyriani Sabbe

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kevin De Bruyne

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Youri Tielemans

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Charles De Ketelaere

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Roméo Lavia

100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hans Vanaken

100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nicolas Raskin

100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mika Godts

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mandela Keita

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Loïs Openda

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Romelu Lukaku

100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Leandro Trossard

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

Player to be in Belgium's starting lineup for the UEFA Nations League game between France and Belgium, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET.

Polymarket

Player to be in Belgium's starting lineup for the UEFA Nations League game between France and Belgium, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a player is more or less likely to start than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market discovers information and reflects collective insight. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether a particular player will be in Belgium’s starting eleven. As more shares are bought for a specific player, the price of those shares increases, indicating a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective judgment of all traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly updating as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Belgium starting lineup is announced and verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially published team sheet prior to the match against France. Any changes made after the initial announcement will not be considered. The market will then determine which predictions accurately reflected the final starting eleven, and shares will be settled accordingly. The outcome is determined by the official lineup, not by pre-match speculation or analyst predictions.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, illness, or tactical decisions by the Belgium coach would be key catalysts. Official team training reports and press conferences leading up to the match will be closely watched for clues about the starting lineup. Unexpected changes in formation or strategy could also shift the probabilities. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player fitness or suspensions could cause substantial price movements. Monitoring these events and analyzing their potential impact is crucial for traders in this market.