TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:18 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in China's League 1. It focuses on determining whether either of the two competing teams wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Foshan Nanshi FC vs Ningbo Professional match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Foshan Nanshi FC wins, the 'Foshan Nanshi FC' market resolves to Yes. If Ningbo Professional wins, the 'Ningbo Professional' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for extra time or penalty outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of professional oddsmakers, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s life, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks may not immediately consider. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current volume indicates the level of confidence traders have in various results.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Foshan Nanshi vs Ningbo match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Additionally, performance in preceding matches, weather conditions on match day, and even public opinion or expert analysis could all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in related matches or shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to increased volume and price volatility.