TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:35 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in China's League 1, focusing on which team will secure a victory within regular time. The contest evaluates performance over 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes include a win for either participating team or a draw at the end of regulation.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Foshan Nanshi FC versus Nanjing City match scheduled for October 24, 2026, considering only the results after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team or a tied result. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome of the Foshan Nanshi vs Nanjing City match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sources, especially when new developments occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The current market price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a specific result in the Foshan Nanshi vs Nanjing City match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Foshan Nanshi vs Nanjing City match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market before Oct 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all impact traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome of the Foshan Nanshi vs Nanjing City match. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or managerial decisions could also trigger shifts in the market. Any significant information that alters the perceived probabilities will likely be reflected in the trading volume and contract prices.