TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:09 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Fortuna Sittard and SBV Excelsior, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fortuna Sittard" if Fortuna Sittard are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SBV Excelsior" if SBV Excelsior are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Fortuna Sittard and SBV Excelsior, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fortuna Sittard" if Fortuna Sittard are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SBV Excelsior" if SBV Excelsior are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, you might find that this market assigns a slightly different probability based on the collective insights of participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Fortuna Sittard or SBV Excelsior will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand; if many traders believe Fortuna Sittard is likely to score first, the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This creates a dynamic pricing system where the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior match. Any goals that are disallowed or scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fortuna Sittard or SBV Excelsior would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of wins or losses, could also shift market sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially impacting the style of play, might influence traders' predictions. Unexpected tactical announcements from either manager could also lead to price adjustments as the market reacts to the new information.