TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming 3. Liga game between Fortuna Dusseldorf and SV Meppen 1912, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fortuna Dusseldorf vs. SV Meppen 1912 match originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming 3. Liga game between Fortuna Dusseldorf and SV Meppen 1912, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fortuna Dusseldorf vs. SV Meppen 1912 match originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access, differing interpretations of data, or simply the influence of market sentiment. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating increased confidence in that result. Conversely, increased selling pressure will lower the price, suggesting decreased confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Fortuna Dusseldorf versus SV Meppen 1912 match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The verified score will be sourced from official sports reporting agencies and will be the definitive basis for settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the exact score will be paid out according to the market's payout structure at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movements in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Fortuna Dusseldorf or SV Meppen 1912 could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, affecting the style of play and potentially the final score. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' chances of success could drive trading volume and alter the implied probabilities reflected in this market.