TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:05 PM EST
Kalshi
Two Italy Serie A2 basketball teams engage in a pivotal league encounter. The game's outcome could influence both teams' trajectories in the season.
Markets resolve to Yes if the named team wins the specified men's professional Italy Serie A2 basketball game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. If postponed but started within 48 hours, markets remain open and resolve based on final result. Cancellations or failure to start within 48 hours lead to fair price resolution. Kalshi disclaims affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to incorporate a profit margin and account for potential liabilities, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply variations in public opinion. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting—or a disagreement about the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if a particular outcome happens.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official score reported by the governing body of the Italian basketball league. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official result is available. This allows for a transparent and verifiable resolution process, ensuring fairness for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even media coverage highlighting a team’s strengths or weaknesses, can also play a role. Major upsets in other related games, or even broader trends in basketball performance, could also contribute to price movement. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.