TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Fortaleza and CR Brasil. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Fortaleza vs CR Brasil professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criterion. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both represent probabilities assigned to the same event, but through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Fortaleza vs CR Brasil match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities based on the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Fortaleza vs CR Brasil match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match will be used to determine which outcome wins. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Fortaleza or CR Brasil would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also move the market. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and updated team lineups can influence traders' perceptions and lead to shifts in the odds. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards, will also have an immediate impact.