TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
A Brazilian Serie B soccer match features Fortaleza and CR Brasil, where the winner in regular time determines the market outcome. Draws have a separate resolution path, and any significant schedule changes affect pricing.
The event resolves based on the result of the Fortaleza vs CR Brasil professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Fortaleza wins, its market resolves to Yes; if CR Brasil wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no account for extra time or penalties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take the opposite position, driving the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fortaleza vs CR Brasil match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes might also lead to price movements. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume spikes could indicate new information entering the market, causing the odds to adjust. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market’s pricing.