TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mees Rottgering and Darwin Blanch in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mees Rottgering' if Mees Rottgering advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Mees Rottgering. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mees Rottgering and Darwin Blanch in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mees Rottgering' if Mees Rottgering advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Mees Rottgering. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individual predictions and real-money incentives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price variations between the two. Examining these contrasts can provide a broader perspective on the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders involved.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fort Worth tennis match between Mees Rottgering and Darwin Blanch, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event could also impact the perceived chances of each player. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, driven by social media or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market and making informed trading decisions.