TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 2:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaylan Bigun and Trevor Svajda in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaylan Bigun' if Kaylan Bigun advances against Trevor Svajda. This market will resolve to 'Trevor Svajda' if Trevor Svajda advances against Kaylan Bigun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaylan Bigun and Trevor Svajda in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaylan Bigun' if Kaylan Bigun advances against Trevor Svajda. This market will resolve to 'Trevor Svajda' if Trevor Svajda advances against Kaylan Bigun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the fight’s outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or the influence of public perception. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. The market’s efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the diversity of opinions represented among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bigun vs Svajda fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against credible public sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or potential rule changes could also have a significant impact. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, though the market’s price will ultimately be determined by trading activity on Polymarket. A major upset in a related fight could also influence expectations.