TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Alex Rybakov in the Fort Worth, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Alex Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Alex Rybakov' if Alex Rybakov advances against Karl Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Alex Rybakov in the Fort Worth, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Alex Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Alex Rybakov' if Alex Rybakov advances against Karl Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular boxer, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and it’s constantly adjusting based on new information and changing opinions about the Fort Worth boxing match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Fort Worth boxing match. The winner of the match, as determined by the official scorecard or knockout, will dictate the settlement of this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform’s standard procedures, but the initial commission ruling will be the primary factor.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding the physical condition of either Karl Poling or Alex Rybakov, such as injury reports or training updates, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, perhaps driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements related to the fight’s venue or scheduling could also create volatility. Even seemingly minor details, like pre-fight weigh-in results, could influence traders’ assessments and lead to shifts in the price of shares for the Fort Worth boxing match.