TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 3:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Erik Arutiunian and Aidan McHugh in the Fort Worth, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Aidan McHugh. This market will resolve to 'Aidan McHugh' if Aidan McHugh advances against Erik Arutiunian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Erik Arutiunian and Aidan McHugh in the Fort Worth, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Aidan McHugh. This market will resolve to 'Aidan McHugh' if Aidan McHugh advances against Erik Arutiunian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets reacting more quickly to new information or unexpected developments than sportsbooks, leading to shifts in probabilities that may not be immediately reflected elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Fort Worth match between Erik Arutiunian and Aidan McHugh. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could trigger price movements as traders react to the changing dynamics. Public opinion and expert analysis, if widely disseminated, could also play a role in influencing the market’s assessment of the match outcome.