TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 1:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Milavsky and Darwin Blanch in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Milavsky' if Daniel Milavsky advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Daniel Milavsky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Milavsky and Darwin Blanch in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Milavsky' if Daniel Milavsky advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Daniel Milavsky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Blanch vs Milavsky match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Blanch vs Milavsky match as declared by the governing tennis authority. Any disputes or official revisions to the result will be considered in determining the final outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player, or even broader tennis news, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term price movements, reflecting their conviction in a particular outcome.