TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 2:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cosme de Ravel and Ozan Baris in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cosme de Ravel' if Cosme de Ravel advances against Ozan Baris. This market will resolve to 'Ozan Baris' if Ozan Baris advances against Cosme de Ravel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cosme de Ravel and Ozan Baris in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cosme de Ravel' if Cosme de Ravel advances against Ozan Baris. This market will resolve to 'Ozan Baris' if Ozan Baris advances against Cosme de Ravel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the odds here can diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there’s strong public interest or access to unique information. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective opinion of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share indicates the probability of a particular outcome, while a 'no' share represents the probability of the alternative. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cosme de Ravel vs Ozan Baris match. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected match conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or public endorsements of either player could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve.