TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 1:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Maarten Jong and Lui Maxted in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Maarten Jong' if Alexander Maarten Jong advances against Lui Maxted. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Alexander Maarten Jong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Maarten Jong and Lui Maxted in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Maarten Jong' if Alexander Maarten Jong advances against Lui Maxted. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Alexander Maarten Jong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional methods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of the potential results of the Jong vs Maxted match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alexander Maarten Jong versus Lui Maxted match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates and confirmation of the final result, as this will trigger the settlement of all outstanding shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports analysts and commentators could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, especially as the event draws nearer and more attention is focused on the Jong vs Maxted match.