TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Forli and Livorno. Bettors can speculate on whether Forli, Livorno, or neither team (a tie) will win the match within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Forli vs Livorno Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Forli or Livorno markets occurs only if that specific team wins in regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regular time. All markets become void and are resolved at fair prices if the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date. The governing league’s official result determines market resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbooks, or react more quickly to new developments. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Forli vs Livorno match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Forli vs Livorno match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. As more trades occur, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value, representing the collective forecast of the match's result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Forli vs Livorno match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Major tactical announcements from either team’s coach or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also drive price movements. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the Forli vs Livorno match may also influence traders’ expectations and affect the market.