TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Canadian Premier League game between Forge FC Hamilton and HFX Wanderers FC, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Forge FC Hamilton vs. HFX Wanderers FC match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Canadian Premier League game between Forge FC Hamilton and HFX Wanderers FC, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Forge FC Hamilton vs. HFX Wanderers FC match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a specific exact score is more likely than implied by sportsbook lines, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time, especially for events with readily available information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores for the Forge FC vs. HFX Wanderers match, and the price of each share reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more traders buy shares of a particular score, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Forge FC vs. HFX Wanderers match – the exact score – will be used to determine the winning shares. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score will be paid out based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event's progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Forge FC or HFX Wanderers would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the game, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about team tactics or formations might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed bettors could also trigger price movements, as others react to their actions and reassess the probabilities.