TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Folgore Caratese and Treviso FBC. The result is determined by which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends with both teams level, it is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Folgore Caratese vs Treviso FBC professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if neither team secures a victory during that period. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular play.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome. Examining these differences can provide valuable information for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Folgore Caratese vs Treviso match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market efficiently incorporates information as traders express their views through bids and asks, creating a constantly updated probability forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Folgore Caratese vs Treviso match, as officially recorded by sporting authorities. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and whether their predictions were accurate following the event's completion. The platform will verify the results and distribute payouts accordingly, based on the final score and the contracts held by each trader.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could influence trader sentiment. Additionally, updates on weather conditions, which might affect the match's playing surface, could also cause fluctuations. Even broader factors, such as shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators, can impact trading activity and adjust the probabilities reflected in the market. Monitoring these factors closely can help you anticipate potential price movements.