TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:33 AM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a professional league match where a clear winner must be determined within the standard playing time. The outcome hinges solely on which team scores more goals during this period, with no consideration for extended play or penalty shootouts.
The event determines the winner of a professional Serie C soccer match between Foggia and Potenza scheduled for October 11, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: Foggia win, Potenza win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by actual money being placed on various outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential for different results in the Foggia vs Potenza match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Foggia vs Potenza match, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Foggia vs Potenza match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. It’s important to note that the final outcome is determined by the actual event results, not by any pre-defined expectations or predictions. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either Foggia or Potenza could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could also trigger movements in the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable shifts in the odds as we approach Oct 11, 2026.