TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Another set of teams clash in a best-of-series format, with this particular map's result dictating market resolutions. Strategic early advantages often shape the entire match's trajectory.
Markets resolve based on whether FlyQuest or Team WE wins map 3 of their scheduled match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before or after play begins, markets resolve to the fair market price or according to official results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific outcome in the FlyQuest vs. Team WE match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the FlyQuest vs. Team WE match, as determined by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series, or even broader tournament dynamics, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other related matches, or even significant social media discussion surrounding the teams, might also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning Map 3 has the potential to move this market.