TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Team WE will defeat FlyQuest in their League of Legends match. Currently, Kalshi gives Team WE a 64.0% probability of winning, while FlyQuest is at 38.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: FlyQuest vs. Team WE League of Legends match, as reported by the official tournament results. Keep a close watch on October 13, 2026, as that is the scheduled date for the match and the end of the betting period for this market.
The market resolves to Yes if FlyQuest wins the specified match. If Team WE wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the tournament organizer.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by individual traders, can sometimes provide more efficient pricing, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds benefit from established risk management and may react more quickly to breaking news or injury reports. Discrepancies between the two can present opportunities for arbitrage, though these are often short-lived.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the likelihood of each result in the FlyQuest vs. Team WE match. The platform facilitates price discovery based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the FlyQuest vs. Team WE match as reported by the governing body of the esports league. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event winner. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either FlyQuest or Team WE could shift the odds. Major announcements about the tournament format or venue could also influence trading activity. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early game advantages or key player eliminations, won't directly affect the market but could influence sentiment. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning has the potential to move this market.