TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flyers vs. Sharks
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 21 at 4:00PM ET: If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with explicit resolution rules for six distinct markets (moneyline, four over/under totals, and two spreads), while Kalshi's market definition is incomplete and logically contradictory—it states that resolution to Yes occurs if EITHER team wins, making it impossible to differentiate outcomes and rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The rule 'If PHI Flyers wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If SJ Sharks wins...then resolves to Yes' means every possible outcome resolves to Yes, creating a guaranteed-win scenario that violates basic market logic. Polymarket's six markets are well-defined and tradeable; Kalshi requires clarification or correction before settlement can proceed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (complete market suite): Polymarket defines six distinct, mutually exclusive markets covering moneyline (Flyers vs. Sharks), four over/under total-goals thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and two spread markets (Sharks -1.5, Flyers -1.5). Each market has explicit resolution criteria tied to final score, with consistent handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). All markets reference the same underlying game and source (NHL.com scores as of March 21, 4:00 PM ET).
- Kalshi: Outlier (logical contradiction): Kalshi defines a single market with a critical flaw: 'If PHI Flyers wins the Philadelphia at San Jose professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If SJ Sharks wins the Philadelphia at San Jose professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology where every possible outcome (Flyers win OR Sharks win) resolves to Yes, making the market unresolvable and untradeably ambiguous.
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