TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs
Volume:
$2,621,000
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Philadelphia Flyers and Toronto Maple Leafs scheduled for March 2, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread, and multiple over/under total goals thresholds across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket) apply identical resolution logic: final official NHL score determines all outcomes, with consistent handling of overtime, shootouts, postponements, and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NHL scoring (nhl.com)Core resolution logic:
- Moneyline: Flyers win resolves to Flyers; Maple Leafs win resolves to Maple Leafs or Yes
- Spread (Maple Leafs -1.5): Resolves to Maple Leafs if they win by 2+ goals; otherwise Flyers
- Over/Under thresholds: Combined goals determine resolution (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds across markets)
- Shootout scoring: One goal added to winning team's total for resolution calculation
- Postponement: Markets remain open until game completion
- Cancellation with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Shootout Resolution: One goal is added to the winning team's score for purposes of determining over/under and spread outcomes
- Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a future date
- Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
- Overtime Goals: All overtime goals count toward final score for moneyline, spread, and over/under resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after final official NHL score is posted following game completion on March 2, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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