TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 5 at 7:00PM ET: If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 5 at 7:00PM ET: If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Predict, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can and do occur. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially when there's significant public interest and informed trading activity. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. The market efficiently aggregates information from a diverse range of participants, aiming to provide a more accurate prediction than any single individual could achieve.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Flyers-Lightning game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive payouts based on the final market prices at resolution. The platform relies on publicly available information to verify the result and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant team performance shifts could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about goaltender matchups or key player availability would likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, general hockey news, analyst predictions, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to shifts in the market for the Flyers-Lightning game.