TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flyers vs. Ducks
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 18 at 10:00PM ET: If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal wins by either team), while Polymarket offers multiple total-goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), a moneyline (Flyers vs. Ducks), and a spread market (Ducks -1.5). The two platforms measure fundamentally different outcomes from the same game.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on whether either team wins by a large margin (1.5+ or 2.5+ goals). On Polymarket, you can bet on total goals scored, the winner, or the Ducks' margin. These are independent bets with different payoff structures—a Kalshi YES does not guarantee a Polymarket outcome and vice versa. Choose your platform based on whether you want to predict margin-of-victory or total scoring/moneyline.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves YES if either the Flyers or Ducks win by over 1.5 goals OR over 2.5 goals. This is a margin-of-victory market with no total-goals or moneyline component. Key quote: 'If Anaheim wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four separate markets—moneyline (Flyers vs. Ducks winner), three over/under total-goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and a spread (Ducks -1.5). Each resolves independently based on combined scoring or winner, not margin-of-victory. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Flyers and Ducks combine to score 6 or more goals' (O/U 5.5 example) and 'If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to Flyers' (moneyline).
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