TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Fluminense vs Internacional professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the probability of a tie on Kalshi is 74.5%, while the probability of Fluminense winning is 22.5%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match as reported by official sources. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Internacional wins the match originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with final resolution expected by Oct 29, 2026.
The event resolves based on the result of the Fluminense vs Internacional professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Fluminense wins, the 'Fluminense' market resolves to Yes. If Internacional wins, the 'Internacional' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within regular time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and participants than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks often set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to incorporate a wider range of factors. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate forecasts than sportsbook odds, particularly when accounting for factors beyond pure statistical analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Fluminense vs Internacional match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The platform uses a margin system to ensure solvency and facilitate trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Fluminense vs Internacional match, as officially reported by a recognized sports authority, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress and any potential factors that could influence the final result leading up to this date.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 29, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Fluminense or Internacional would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising loss in a preceding match, could also shift sentiment. News regarding weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant tactical changes announced by either team’s manager, have the potential to influence trading activity. Any major developments impacting team morale or key player availability should be closely watched.