TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game between Fluminense FC and SE Palmeiras, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras match originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game between Fluminense FC and SE Palmeiras, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras match originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores, and the price of each share reflects the market's current expectation of that score occurring. As more traders buy shares of a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment surrounding the Fluminense vs. Palmeiras match. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras match will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding shares of the correct exact score will be entitled to a payout based on the market's pricing at the time of resolution. The process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fluminense or Palmeiras would likely cause shifts in the odds. Tactical changes announced by either team's coach, or updates on team form and recent performance, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could all contribute to price movements. Essentially, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' chances of scoring a specific number of goals could move this market.