This event group covers a Brazil Série A match between Fluminense FC and CA Paranaense scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets span multiple over/under total goals thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), both teams to score, and spread betting across multiple goal differentials. Resolution is based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets use identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time), identical primary source (CBF official statistics), and identical handling of postponement, cancellation, and incomplete match scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) official match statistics published on cbf.com.br; fallback to credible reporting consensus if CBF does not publish within 2 hours after match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams: O/U 1.5 resolves Over if 2+ goals, O/U 2.5 resolves Over if 3+ goals, O/U 3.5 resolves Over if 4+ goals, O/U 4.5 resolves Over if 5+ goals
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal; resolves No if either team scores zero
Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: Fluminense (-1.5) wins if Fluminense wins by 2+ goals, Fluminense (-2.5) wins if Fluminense wins by 3+ goals, Paranaense (-1.5) wins if Paranaense wins by 2+ goals, Paranaense (-2.5) wins if Paranaense wins by 3+ goals
All resolution calculations use only goals scored within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
If match is postponed, markets remain open until match is completed
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50
If match is started but not completed, resolution uses the official final score published by CBF
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
Cancellation without makeup: All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (no winner, full refund to all participants)
Match started but not completed: Resolution uses the official final score as published by CBF on cbf.com.br, treating the incomplete match as final
CBF publication delay: If CBF does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used as fallback
Extra time and penalties: These are explicitly excluded; only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time counts for resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official CBF statistics must be published or credible consensus established within 2 hours post-match for final settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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