TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:07 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional boxing match between Floyd Schofield and Lucas Bahdi, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It reflects who will win the contest in its originally scheduled date or any rescheduled date, with the market closing shortly after the fight concludes.
If Floyd Schofield wins the Floyd Schofield vs Lucas Bahdi boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Bahdi wins the Floyd Schofield vs Lucas Bahdi boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced the fight, you might see discrepancies emerge. It's common to observe prediction markets incorporating information—and potentially reacting to news—faster than sportsbooks, leading to different probabilities for the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Schofield vs Bahdi fight. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimation of the event’s potential results. The market’s efficiency relies on the collective intelligence of its participants, constantly refining the probabilities as they see fit.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Schofield vs Bahdi fight, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. This includes determining the winner of the bout, whether by knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the result and settle the market accordingly, ensuring a fair and transparent process for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either Schofield or Bahdi would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in training reports, public statements from the fighters or their teams, and even shifts in betting patterns on sportsbooks could all influence trader behavior. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or fight conditions could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each fighter’s chances of winning has the potential to move the market.