TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 10:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Florida and Winnipeg, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams in the match.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the same NHL game between Florida and Winnipeg scheduled for October 27, 2026, but evaluating different winning margins. The first market resolves to Yes if Winnipeg wins by more than 2.5 goals. The second market resolves to Yes if Winnipeg wins by more than 1.5 goals. The third market resolves to Yes if Florida wins by more than 1.5 goals. The fourth market resolves to Yes if Florida wins by more than 2.5 goals. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game is cancelled or does not start within that window, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, you’ll often see the prediction market odds move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, and this can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their views align with the eventual outcome. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on Kalshi, indicating the market's expectation for the final point difference in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between Florida and Winnipeg at the conclusion of the game. The resolution will reflect the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts that correctly predict the spread will receive a payout, while those with incorrect predictions will forfeit their stake. The market’s outcome is based on the official game results.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift the market’s perception. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed bettors could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing the price of contracts to adjust accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.