TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of an upcoming college football game between Florida and Texas. It provides a way to speculate on the momentum and performance of each team specifically in the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
If Texas wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are initially set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and perceived biases, while this market is driven by individuals directly incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks. Analyzing both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the probabilities involved in this contest, but remember that prediction markets allow you to trade your position up until resolution.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the potential for either team to win the 4th quarter. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest probability, is a 4th quarter tie.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the 4th quarter of the Florida vs Texas game will determine the winning contract. The final score and official game results will be used to verify the outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result, as reported by official sources. It’s important to monitor the game closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy for either Florida or Texas would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-game polls, could impact trading activity. Even late-breaking news about team morale or coaching decisions could move the market as traders adjust their predictions leading up to Oct 17, 2026.