TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Florida and Texas. It provides a way to bet on short-term performance rather than the overall game outcome. The resolution depends solely on the third quarter's scoring dynamics.
If Texas wins the 3rd quarter of the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida wins the 3rd quarter of the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Florida vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news that impacts the perceived probabilities. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The current top outcome, as indicated by contract prices, is Texas winning the 3rd quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the third quarter of the Florida vs Texas game will be declared the winner of this market. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the final outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Florida or Texas would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also influence the market, potentially favoring a team with a stronger running game. Additionally, in-game performance during the first and second quarters—such as a dominant offensive showing by one team—could lead to substantial adjustments in the perceived probabilities and trading volume in this market.