TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points Florida and Texas score together in the second quarter of their college football game. Each market has a different threshold, so traders can bet on whether the combined score will exceed various point totals.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the Florida vs Texas college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each individual market has a specific point threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points); if the actual combined second-quarter score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Postponements are handled by allowing the market to remain open if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, using the official result then. If the game does not start within that window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of individual threshold levels. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting patterns, the price on Kalshi is solely determined by supply and demand among traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Florida vs Texas 2nd quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'Over 7.5' outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and the market remains open until the event concludes, allowing for dynamic price discovery based on evolving information.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 2nd quarter between Florida and Texas will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded 7.5. If the total is greater than 7.5, contracts predicting 'Over 7.5' will pay out $100, while those predicting 'Under 7.5' will expire worthless. Conversely, if the total is 7.5 or less, the 'Under 7.5' contracts will pay out $100, and the 'Over 7.5' contracts will expire worthless.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida or Texas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift expectations. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence traders and drive price fluctuations in this market.