TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential between Florida and Texas specifically during the second quarter of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Florida vs Texas college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds defined in individual markets.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, you’ll typically see the prediction market price diverge. However, it’s not uncommon for prediction market prices to closely mirror sportsbook odds, especially when there’s broad agreement on the likely outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Florida vs Texas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will settle based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution will be clearly indicated on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida or Texas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift market sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.