TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Florida vs. Texas
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Florida vs. Texas?

Volume:
$1,000,444

Florida vs. Texas

 - Polymarket

Florida vs. Texas - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 3:44 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Florida vs. Texas

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$844,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,897
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,091
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Florida O/U 20.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Texas O/U 23.5

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q Spread -3.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,605
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1H Spread -7.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Florida making 40+ yard field goals over/under 1.5 during their upcoming football game against Texas. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 20.0% for Florida to exceed 1.5 successful 40+ yard field goals. Resolution will be based on the official results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 17th, as the outcome of field goal attempts will directly determine the market’s resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers a wide range of spread and total markets, creating SKU risk, while Kalshi only offers a simple winner market.Hero tip: Focus on the core winner market on Kalshi for a simpler resolution, as the Polymarket spread markets introduce significant SKU risk and potential for disagreement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets resolving to the winner of the game, point spreads, and over/under totals. Resolves based on final score, with standard postponement/cancellation rules (50/50 if canceled).
  • Kalshi: Only offers markets resolving to either Texas or Florida winning the game. Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Texas, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Florida vs Texas college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Texas wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Florida’s resolves to No. Conversely, if Florida wins, its market resolves to Yes, and Texas’s resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Florida vs. Texas game from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of probabilities, currently showing a combined volume of $1,000,444 across all integrated platforms. This allows users to see where the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ stands on the outcome of the game. We track the most liquid markets to provide a comprehensive overview, and the dashboard updates continuously as new trades are placed on Polymarket and Kalshi.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital, creating a more direct expression of collective belief. This market’s pricing can be influenced by factors sportsbooks may not immediately account for, such as insider information or subtle shifts in public sentiment. However, both types of odds aim to accurately predict the probability of an event occurring, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage.