TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:41 PM EST
Kalshi
Two NHL hockey teams compete on the ice, with the outcome determined by the margin of victory. The game's result hinges on which team scores significantly more goals than the other.
All markets resolve based on the official game result for the Florida vs Pittsburgh NHL match scheduled for Oct 22, 2026. If Pittsburgh wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. If Florida wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes. If Florida wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. These differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date. Analyzing these discrepancies can sometimes reveal opportunities for informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Florida-Pittsburgh game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of whether the actual spread will fall on that side of the line. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Florida-Pittsburgh game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine the winning contracts. All contracts corresponding to the correct spread will pay out $100, while those representing incorrect spreads will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official results following the game's completion to understand the final settlement.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. News regarding key player injuries on either the Florida or Pittsburgh teams would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant public betting patterns observed at sportsbooks could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as this market reflects a broad assessment of each team’s chances of success. Any developments altering the perceived competitive balance will likely be reflected in the price action.