TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ottawa will win its NHL game against Florida. Currently, Kalshi gives Ottawa a 99.0% probability of winning, while Florida is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Florida vs Ottawa NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Ottawa wins the game played on or around October 21st, with final resolution occurring no later than October 22, 2026.
The event determines the winner of the NHL game between Florida and Ottawa scheduled for October 21, 2026. If Ottawa wins, the Ottawa market resolves to Yes; if Florida wins, the Florida market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents a collective forecast from individuals trading on Kalshi. These traders weigh various factors, potentially including team statistics, player injuries, and even less quantifiable elements like team morale. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as this market can react more quickly to changing perceptions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and adjust its predictions in real-time based on the collective intelligence of the traders involved. The current market indicates a strong level of interest in the potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Florida vs Ottawa game as reported by official sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is interpreting the latest information and adjusting its predictions accordingly.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team lineups would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in game location could also move the market. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, can influence trader behavior. Major upsets in other related games or broader sports news could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities and, therefore, the prices within this market.